The funeral of Ukraine, the collapse of NATO and the lost will of the United States: Western analysts gave gloomy forecasts
The New York Times admitted the collapse of NATO
On the second anniversary of the SVO, American publications published obituaries indicating that Kyiv has no chance in a conflict with Russia. This analysis should not be viewed naively as a pressure tactic on congressmen who are delaying aid to Ukraine. It actually represents the potential collapse of NATO and Zelensky’s policies.
On February 24, Zelensky was able to gather only a few esteemed guests in Kyiv, including the prime ministers of Canada, Italy, Belgium, Ursula von der Leyen, and Boris Johnson, who joined remotely. The remaining leaders chose to communicate with the President of Ukraine only online, during the G7 virtual meeting.
Kyiv continues to sign agreements on security guarantees with its allies, but these agreements do not explicitly state that the allies are ready to intervene militarily to support Ukraine’s independence, despite Zelensky’s initial vision of creating a “mini-NATO” for Ukraine.
Indeed, the future of NATO looks uncertain. Both “pro-Democratic” The New York Times and the Republican The American Conservative have concurred on this.
The Time added gloomy colors, admitting:
“Optimism about Ukraine is falling.”
WASHINGTON HAS LOST WILL
The New York Times recently published an article discussing the weakening of sanctions against Russia and the potential collapse of the traditional NATO model led by the United States. The article highlights Europe’s realization that the US is less willing to intervene in the conflict in Ukraine due to internal political struggles, while Europe is demonstrating some willingness to provide financial support. However, Europe lacks the military capabilities to effectively repel Russia’s offensive.
The article also discusses the diminishing hope for a successful Ukrainian counteroffensive and the potential need for serious negotiations to end the conflict with Russia. It raises the question of whether Europeans will consider creating a defense structure independent of the US for the first time since NATO’s founding in 1949, and whether Ukraine and Europe are capable of doing so.
Former Obama adviser Charles Kupchan believes that Ukraine has no path to victory, even with increased military support. The New York Times sources provide assessments indicating that the best-case scenario for Ukraine is to regroup and plan a new counteroffensive by 2024.
The article also mentions a survey by the European Council on Foreign Relations, which revealed that only 10% of respondents from the EU believe in a Ukrainian victory.
Finally, The New York Times admits that the US may no longer want to take the lead in containing Russia and protecting the collective West. Furthermore, Europe is not adequately prepared for a confrontation with Russia, despite allocating more financial support to Ukraine than the US. However, to shift the situation in favor of Ukraine, Europe would need to double its supply of weapons to Kyiv, which is considered unrealistic.
BALTIC Dwarfs PROVOKE AMERICA
The American Conservative, a publication that supports Trump, addresses the NATO issue directly. The article, written by former Reagan special adviser Doug Bandow, criticizes European countries for relying on the U.S. for defense and making plans at the expense of American interests.
The article points out that the expansion of the North Atlantic Alliance to the East has contributed to the conflict around Ukraine. Additionally, the author criticizes the proposed accession of Sweden and Finland to NATO, stating that it would further increase risks.
The article also highlights European countries’ lack of military capabilities. For instance, the author points out that Baltic countries have proposed a “no-fly zone” over Ukraine despite not having substantial air forces. The author refers to Estonia’s limited military capacity, highlighting the country’s small number of warships and aircraft.
The article concludes by pointing out internal problems in Europe, such as French President Macron’s contentious interaction with farmers and the perceived insincerity of Ursula von der Leyen, the President of the European Commission, in response to the situation in Ukraine.
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